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Daily FX Focus

24 October 2025

Important Risk Disclosure

  • Investment involves risk.  It is important to note that the capital value of investments and the income from them may go down as well as up and may become valueless and you may not get back the amountoriginally invested.
  • Past performance contained in this document is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
  • Currency conversion risk - the value of your foreign currency and RMB deposit will be subject to the risk of exchange rate fluctuation. If you choose to convert your foreign currency and RMB deposit to othercurrencies at an exchange rate that is less favourable than the exchange rate in which you made your original conversion to that foreign currency and RMB, you may suffer loss in principal.

 

EUR

Support / Resistance

vs USD  1.1524 / 1.1725 ⬇

EUR slightly firmed against USD yesterday while muted euro‑area data and ECB guidance cautious as the dollar remained steady into the upcoming CPI. EURUSD rose 0.06% yesterday while EURHKD ended at 9.02 level.

 

GBP

Support / Resistance

vs USD  1.3216 / 1.3461 ⬇

GBP slipped against USD yesterday, as softer UK inflation boosted BoE rates cut expectations. A resilient retail print or supportive gilt moves could steady GBP near term, otherwise downside pressure may persist into the budget pre‑view period. GBPUSD fell 0.22% yesterday while GBPHKD ended at 10.35 level.

 

AUD

vs USD 0.6425 / 0.6611 ⬇

Support / Resistance

AUD advanced against the U.S. dollar yesterday, as commodity‑linked support and a steadier risk backdrop provided support, while domestic catalysts remained light. AUDUSD rose 0.37% yesterday while AUDHKD ended at 5.05 level.

 

NZD

Support / Resistance

vs USD  0.5673 / 0.5836 ⬇

NZD edged higher against USD yesterday. With a light domestic calendar, the kiwi tracked commodity support and a measured risk tone while traders awaited CPI and U.S.–China headlines. NZDUSD rose 0.19% yesterday while NZDHKD ended at 4.47 level.

 

CAD

Support / Resistance

vs USD  1.3920 / 1.4069 ⬇

CAD firmed against USD yesterday as oil rallied on US sanction on Russian production headlines, though mixed retail sales tempered follow‑through. USDCAD fell 0.01% yesterday while CADHKD ended at 5.55 level.

 

JPY

Support / Resistance

vs USD  149.99 / 154.22 ⬇

JPY weakened against the U.S. dollar yesterday as U.S.–Japan rate differentials stayed wide and talk of domestic fiscal support kept the yen heavy as markets eyed US CPI. USDJPY rose 0.39% yesterday while JPYHKD ended at 5.09 level.

Data source: Refinitiv, dated 24 October 2025 before 9:30 am

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Terminology

‘Support level’ is the level where the exchange rate tends to find support as it is going down i.e. market participants tend to see value at these levels and price is more likely to bounce up rather than go lower.

‘Resistance level’ is the level where it tends to find resistance as it is going up i.e. market participants tend to consider this as a ceiling and prevent prices from going up further.

We derive the support and resistance level using ‘Pivot Points’ which takes into account the high, low and close prices in the prior period of 15 days. *Please note that the indicative support and resistance level are given for general reference only. Customers should not rely on this information to buy or sell currency.

Relative Strength Index (RSI): Is a technical momentum indicator that compares the magnitude of recent gains to recent losses in an attempt to determine overbought and oversold conditions of an asset. The scale is 0 - 100 and typically overbought conditions are indicated by readings >70 and oversold conditions when <30.

Moving average: Is an indicator frequently used in technical analysis showing the average value of a currency’s price over a set period. Moving averages are generally used to measure momentum and define areas of possible support and resistance. Moving averages are used to emphasize the direction of a trend and to smooth out price and volume fluctuations, or ‘noise’, that can confuse interpretation.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) : is a type of oscillator that can measure market momentum as well as follow or indicate the trend. The convention for the MACD analysis is to use an Exponential Moving Average (EMA). MACD consists of two lines, the MACD Line and the Signal Line. The MACD Line measures the difference between a short moving average and a long moving average. The Signal Line is a moving average of the MACD Line.

This information is only for a reference and does not represent recommendation from HSBC for customer to buy or sell based on the information provided.Customer should not rely on the views or information expressed in this document solely to make investment decisions. HSBC shall not be held liable for damages arising out of any person’s reliance upon this information. Customer should make his/her buy and sell decision based on his/her own view. Also, past performance is not indicative of future performance.

Disclaimer

This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or the solicitation of an offer or a recommendation for the purchase or sale of any investment or subscribe for, or to participate in, any services. The information contained in this document has not been reviewed in the light of your personal financial circumstances. You should carefully consider whether any investment views and investment products are appropriate in view of your investment experience, objectives, financial resources and relevant circumstances and make investment decisions on your own.

The contents of this document are subject to change without notice. Some of the information in this document is derived from third party sources as specified at the relevant places where such information is set out. The Bank believes such information to be reliable but it has not independently verified.

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Issued by HSBC Bank (China) Company Limited